# The Alignment Half-Life Problem
Five independent research papers published today — none citing each other — converge on a single finding: post-training is where model behavior is actually determined, and current methods produce models whose alignment is fundamentally unstable and opaque even to their creators. That result collides directly with Anthropic's launch of a safety-differentiated Claude Mythos tier and Google's multimodal expansion, raising a question neither company is answering: how do you guarantee a safety tier when the research community is proving that alignment established during post-training does not reliably survive adversarial fine-tuning, architectural changes, or extended reasoning?
## Thread 1: The Alignment Debt Is Coming Due
## Thread 2: Benchmarks All the Way Down
## Thread 3: The Post-Training Arms Race
## Cross-Story / Counter-Narrative
## Quick Hits